By The Baseball Beginnings Guy
May 11, 2012
Ths guy is a breaking ball away from being a poor man’s Dan Haren. He’s got average major league fastball velocity with plus fastball control, which alone will give him a shot to succeed in the big leagues. He’s got an improved change-up he uses well. You can get to the big leagues and get paid to do that, so make a run for it.
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Fastball is 90-93, mostly 90-91, at times with above-average major league command to both sides and usually with sink. That’s his bread-and-butter and now you’ve got his change-up, 80-83, which can get him through a college lineup twice, but not usually three times. I think the biggest thing he needs to find in pro ball is a consistent breaking ball, probably a get it over slider for him, which can make the difference between being a starter or a middle man. Either way, he’s got a chance, and if he can find a way to make his fastball cut, tail, and sink with increasing regularity, he can be one of those big league starters who just gets guys eating out of his hand with the fastball movement and control. At the worse, he’s an excellent middle reliever, a Kameron Loe type.
He’s a 48 at his normal level and a 52 early when he looks good. He’s already got a muscular lower half through his hips and trunk, so he won’t throw any harder, but he might be able to maintain a little more stamina. A 52 middle guy is a keeper on a big league staff. A 48 staff filler goes back to Triple-A in the morning.
Slow slurvy breaking ball, 79-80, won’t help him any at the advanced levels, and he doesn’t have the arm speed or power to have the big breaking ball that would make him that Haren-type three pitch guy. But he does have a chance to get there with his fastball velocity, sink, and command and his change-up velocity movement and control. He’s just got to be used correctly as a pro to get all he can get out of his career.