By The Baseball Beginnings Guy
December 21, 2009
You’ll have to head into Barstow to find one of Southern California’s best available high school right-handed starting pitching prospects for the 2010 MLB Draft. For professional scouts and teams, the drive will be worth it if they want to get Aaron Sanchez away from the University of Oregon. We’ve had plenty of good looks at Sanchez here at Baseball Beginnings, including this video.
At the Area Codes, Sanchez was 88-90 with a bump to 92. At Aflac, Sanchez was 87-92 with loose actions and fast arm speed in what I thought was his best outing I saw in the summer. In September, he was at 87-89 with his slider at 72-75 at the Urban Academy. He was at 88-89 with Angels Elite early in September. In those final two outings, Sanchez’s overall control wasn’t as sharp as it had been in August. He struggled to repeat, to maintain arm slot, and to land well.
Listed at 6-3, 175, Sanchez should have more physical projection and more power in his arm to come. His high hips and long legs indicate that he’s working up to more power, not leveling out. With a frame and arm speed like this, I’m more inclined to throw out the two September outings and to revisit him in the spring when he is fresh. This is where scouting mistakes are made if you’re not careful. Was the kid tired or was the kid done improving? I think he was gassed.
This is where if you go by your gun alone, you can be wrong. Sanchez is a good example of the gray area of amateur scouting, when a kid is clearly a prospect but clearly growing into his own body as you try to predict what he’s going to look like in five years. Were I working for a team, I would tell my boss that I want to see this guy again, because you could come back in March, see he has 10 extra pounds, and he’s humming 90-93 with projection. That’s a guy who can sign after high school or go the college route and come out as a higher draft than he could have been in high school. Pitchers with this kind of body type, you never exactly know when that last growth cycle kicks in, except that it probably will. When it does, you know you’ll get more power, but you can’t exactly predict how much. Either way, the bottom line is Sanchez has a fast arm and upside, and I would predict him as a workhorse right-hander with above-average velocity with a power sinker or slider.
Watch Aaron Sanchez Video